In compiling this report, Jonathan Smoke, chief economist for realtor.com® weighed many factors, including the long-term financial impact of owning versus renting, the amount estimated that renters will lose in waiting to buy, and the financial benefits of homeownership by market.
“Current market conditions give buyers the opportunity to build substantial wealth in the long-term, compared with renters and later buyers, in advance of the projected increase in mortgage rates and continuing price appreciation,” says Smoke. “The problem is inventory is low, which has many would-be home buyers –especially first timers – standing on the sidelines and missing out on potentially material financial gains.”
So what does this estimated long-term wealth gain really look like? Smoke reports that while some housing markets are more buyer-friendly than others, nationally the average buyer is set to gain $217,726 over a 30-year period based on today’s dollars. Additionally, in 88 percent of metro areas, the financial benefit of buying a home right now accumulates at least $100,000 over 30 years.
“This analysis looks solely at the financial reasons to buy a home, based on assumptions about rising mortgage rates and changes in home values,” says Smoke. “It’s important to remember that a home purchase decision is deeply personal. Potential buyers need to consider factors such as upcoming life events, job security and potential relocation, in addition to financial benefits, because they too can have a significant impact on ownership.”
These are the 10 markets with long-term wealth gains exceeding $500,000
- Santa Cruz-Watsonville, Calif.: $1,006,413
- Santa Rosa, Calif.: $883,068
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif.: $782,144
- Urban Honolulu, Hawaii: $714,748
- Napa, Calif.: $712,192
- Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, Colo.: $696,131
- Salinas, Calif.: $553,158
- San Diego-Carlsbad, Calif.: $518,382
- San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles-Arroyo Grande, Calif.: $510,719
- Fairbanks, Alaska.: $507,368
Reprinted from realtor.org, May 2015, with permission of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®. Copyright May 2015. All rights reserved. http://www.realtor.org/